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Market Outlook
Top Picks
CIFR★Cipher Digital Inc.
MODERATE8.1/10
Earnings in 16d (May 05)
Crypto/BTC1M: +8.8%INFLOW
$19.37 RSI 67.2 Vol 1.3x 5d: +17.2% | RECOVERING
52W: $2.32 – $25.52 | IV: 26%
Technical
→ Relative strength +24.4% vs SPY (strong outperformance)
→ Double bottom at $13.62, neckline $15.14
→ Gap down -3.1% on 2026-04-13 — now stabilized (capitulation signal)
→ Multi-TF momentum: daily RSI 74, weekly RSI 57
Fundamental
→ Analyst target +43% ($28, 14 analysts)
→ Revenue growth +41%
Edge Signals
→ High short interest (16.7%, 2.1d to cover)
→ High debt-to-equity (331%)
→ IV Rank LOW (26%) — options are cheap
→ UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $22.0 calls, 14349 vol vs 1088 OI (13.2x)
→ Bullish flow (P/C ratio 0.21)
→ EDGAR 8-K HIGH IMPACT: 1.01: Entry into Material Agreement (2026-03-25)
→ Sector rotation: Crypto/BTC seeing INFLOW
→ Strong bullish flow: P/C vol 0.16, P/C OI 0.51
→ Elevated short interest: 17% SI, 1.8 DTC
→ vs peers: MARA +21.6%, RIOT +9.1%, CLSK +19.5%, HIVE +20.7% | CIFR -0.5% vs avg
→ Institutional ownership 81% — heavily held
ANALYSIS
CIFR at $19.37 in a recovering with RSI at 67. Analyst target +43% ($28, 14 analysts). Revenue growth +41%. High short interest (16.7%, 2.1d to cover). UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $22.0 calls, 14349 vol vs 1088 OI (13.2x).
Calls — 2026-06-18 (62d) — 1 contract per strike
Strike%OTMMidIVOICostBEΔ$20.03.3%$3.12106.0%13206$312+19.4%0.56$21.08.4%$2.66103.0%2373$266+22.2%0.52$22.013.6%$2.41105.2%10073$241+26.0%0.48
YahooTradingViewEDGAR
NVTSNavitas Semiconductor Corporati
MODERATE8.1/10
Earnings in 16d (May 05)
Technology1M: +12.0%STRONG INFLOW
$12.32 RSI 71.3 Vol 1.8x 5d: +29.1% | UPTREND
52W: $1.74 – $17.79 | IV: 15%
Technical
→ Volume spike (1.8x avg)
→ Relative strength +28.3% vs SPY (strong outperformance)
→ Double bottom at $8.20, neckline $10.84
→ Multi-TF momentum: daily RSI 82, weekly RSI 58
Edge Signals
→ High short interest (25.1%, 2.0d to cover)
→ IV Rank LOW (15%) — options are cheap
→ UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $14.5 calls, 768 vol vs 91 OI (8.4x)
→ Bullish flow (P/C ratio 0.52)
→ EDGAR 8-K HIGH IMPACT: 5.02: Departure/Appointment of Officers (2026-04-13)
→ Sector rotation: Technology seeing STRONG INFLOW
→ Strong bullish flow: P/C vol 0.24, P/C OI 0.16
→ Squeeze setup: 25% SI, 2.1 DTC
ANALYSIS
Volume is spiking — watch for confirmation. High short interest (25.1%, 2.0d to cover). UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $14.5 calls, 768 vol vs 91 OI (8.4x). Sector tailwind: Technology seeing strong inflow — rising tide lifting all boats. IV Rank at 15% — options are cheap relative to the past year.
Calls — 2026-06-18 (62d) — 1 contract per strike
Strike%OTMMidIVOICostBEΔ$13.05.5%$1.98110.8%1714$198+21.6%0.55$14.013.6%$1.64110.7%1680$164+27.0%0.49
YahooTradingViewEDGAR
CORZ★Core Scientific, Inc.
MODERATE7.8/10
Earnings in 17d (May 06)
Crypto/BTC1M: +8.8%INFLOW
$19.85 RSI 69.3 Vol 1.1x 5d: +8.4% | UPTREND
52W: $6.36 – $23.63 | IV: 26%
Technical
→ Relative strength +13.7% vs SPY (strong outperformance)
→ Double bottom at $14.86, neckline $17.05
→ Multi-TF momentum: daily RSI 83, weekly RSI 59
Fundamental
→ Analyst target +33% ($26)
Edge Signals
→ High short interest (22.0%, 4.9d to cover)
→ IV Rank LOW (26%) — options are cheap
→ UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $21.5 calls, 1452 vol vs 197 OI (7.4x)
→ Bullish flow (P/C ratio 0.23)
→ EDGAR 8-K HIGH IMPACT: 1.01: Entry into Material Agreement (2026-03-23)
→ Sector rotation: Crypto/BTC seeing INFLOW
→ Strong bullish flow: P/C vol 0.04, P/C OI 0.26
→ Squeeze setup: 22% SI, 5.2 DTC
→ Institutional ownership 117% — heavily held
ANALYSIS
CORZ at $19.85 in a uptrend with RSI at 69. Analyst target +33% ($26). High short interest (22.0%, 4.9d to cover). UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $21.5 calls, 1452 vol vs 197 OI (7.4x). Sector tailwind: Crypto/BTC seeing inflow — rising tide lifting all boats.
Calls — 2026-06-18 (62d) — 1 contract per strike
Strike%OTMMidIVOICostBEΔ$20.00.8%$2.5780.5%30508$257+13.7%0.57$21.05.8%$2.1679.9%27163$216+16.6%0.51$23.015.9%$1.4276.9%2673$142+23.0%0.39
YahooTradingViewEDGAR
MSTR★Strategy Inc
MODERATE7.8/10
Earnings in 16d (May 05)
Crypto/BTC1M: +8.8%INFLOW
$166.52 RSI 72.0 Vol 2.7x 5d: +29.4% | RECOVERING
52W: $104.17 – $457.22 | IV: 28%
Technical
→ Volume spike (2.7x avg)
→ Relative strength +10.8% vs SPY (strong outperformance)
→ Double bottom at $132.68, neckline $150.28
Fundamental
→ Analyst target +123% ($371, 14 analysts)
→ Analyst consensus: $371 target (+122.8% upside, 14 analysts)
Edge Signals
→ Elevated short interest (11.0%)
→ IV Rank LOW (28%) — options are cheap
→ UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $170.0 calls, 41109 vol vs 1989 OI (20.7x)
→ Bullish flow (P/C ratio 0.4)
→ EDGAR 8-K HIGH IMPACT: 1.01: Entry into Material Agreement (2026-03-23)
→ Sector rotation: Crypto/BTC seeing INFLOW
→ Strong bullish flow: P/C vol 0.33, P/C OI 0.21
→ Elevated short interest: 11% SI, 1.7 DTC
→ vs peers: COIN +22.9%, MARA +21.6%, RIOT +9.1% | MSTR +11.6% vs avg
ANALYSIS
Volume is spiking — momentum building. Analyst target +123% ($371, 14 analysts). Elevated short interest (11.0%). UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $170.0 calls, 41109 vol vs 1989 OI (20.7x). Sector tailwind: Crypto/BTC seeing inflow — rising tide lifting all boats.
Calls — 2026-06-18 (62d) — 1 contract per strike
Strike%OTMMidIVOICostBEΔ$170.02.1%$19.4576.1%2772$1945+13.8%0.55$178.06.9%$16.2375.6%252$1622+16.6%0.49$192.015.3%$12.0876.4%477$1208+22.6%0.39
YahooTradingViewEDGAR
CLSK★CleanSpark, Inc.
MODERATE7.6/10
Earnings in 18d (May 07)
Crypto/BTC1M: +8.8%INFLOW
$11.97 RSI 68.9 Vol 1.4x 5d: +19.5% | RECOVERING
52W: $7.44 – $23.61 | IV: 32%
Technical
→ Relative strength +13.5% vs SPY (strong outperformance)
→ Double bottom at $9.21, neckline $10.11
Fundamental
→ Analyst target +62% ($19, 12 analysts)
→ Revenue growth +12%
→ Analyst consensus: $19 target (+61.9% upside, 12 analysts)
Edge Signals
→ High short interest (47.2%, 4.6d to cover)
→ UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $13.5 calls, 4738 vol vs 459 OI (10.3x)
→ Bullish flow (P/C ratio 0.52)
→ Sector rotation: Crypto/BTC seeing INFLOW
→ Strong bullish flow: P/C vol 0.24, P/C OI 0.11
→ HIGH SQUEEZE potential: 47% SI, 3.6 DTC
→ vs peers: MARA +21.6%, RIOT +9.1%, CIFR +17.2%, HIVE +20.7% | CLSK +2.3% vs avg
→ Institutional ownership 85% — heavily held
ANALYSIS
CLSK at $11.97 in a recovering with RSI at 69. Analyst target +62% ($19, 12 analysts). Revenue growth +12%. High short interest (47.2%, 4.6d to cover). UNUSUAL OPTIONS: $13.5 calls, 4738 vol vs 459 OI (10.3x).
Calls — 2026-06-18 (62d) — 1 contract per strike
Strike%OTMMidIVOICostBEΔ$12.00.3%$1.6886.0%8750$168+14.3%0.58$13.08.6%$1.3990.4%3527$139+20.2%0.49$14.017.0%$1.0890.2%19256$108+26.0%0.41
YahooTradingViewEDGAR
Pick PerformanceTrack every pick from entry to option expiry
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VERSION 4.1

Market Sniffer

OTM Call Options Intelligence System — By Sam Mantache
62
FEATURES
26
SIGNALS
8
DATA SOURCES
Signal Engine
26 scoring signals across 5 categories
Raw signals are weighted by predictive value, normalized to a 1-10 scale, and filtered for confluence. Scoring is conservative — a 6 means solid multi-signal alignment, an 8+ requires cross-category confluence, and a 9+ is reserved for rare setups where technicals, fundamentals, and edge signals all converge.
Technical (9)

RSI, MACD crossover, Bollinger Bands, volume spike, 52-week proximity, multi-timeframe RSI, chart patterns (double bottom, bull flag, cup & handle), gap analysis, A/D divergence, relative strength vs SPY

Fundamental (5)

Earnings proximity, analyst targets, revenue growth, earnings beat rate + surprise magnitude, short squeeze potential (SI%, DTC, momentum)

Edge / EDGAR (6)

Insider buying clusters (3+ in 7 days), dark pool / block trades, unusual options activity, SEC 8-K material events, EDGAR Form 4 parsing, congressional trades (coming soon)

Options Flow (5)

Put/call ratio sentiment, IV percentile vs realized vol (mispriced options), skew analysis (call IV vs put IV), gamma walls / OI magnets, volume-weighted average strike

Macro / Sector (4)

Sector rotation with inflow/outflow scoring, BTC correlation for crypto miners, sector momentum cascade (money leaving X → flowing into Y), peer comparison

External Data (4)

Social sentiment (StockTwits + Reddit WSB), analyst revision momentum (upgrades vs downgrades), institutional ownership 13D/13G, share buyback detection

Options Intelligence
Smart strike selection with Greeks
Adaptive OTM ladder with delta exposure, theta decay $/day, risk/reward ratios, and DTE sweet spot warnings. Every recommended strike must show positive returns in at least one scenario.
Adaptive Ladder

Three strikes at ~2%, ~7%, ~15% OTM. No strike above +30%. Adapts to volatility profile. Shows delta (Δ) and theta cost (θ/d) per strike.

Breakeven + R/R

Exact % the stock needs to move to break even. Risk/reward ratio calculated at +20% move per strike. 1 contract per strike — cost = mid × 100.

DTE Management

Sweet spot indicator (30-60d optimal). Color-coded DTE countdown on open positions. Theta cliff warnings at <21d. Exit/roll prompts at <14d.

Profitability Filter

Strikes where +30% stock move still loses → auto-removed. IV Rank flags cheap vs expensive options. IV vs realized vol detects mispriced contracts.

Timing & Exit Intelligence
Know when to enter, when to exit
Entry Timing

Morning dip flag (first 30 min warning). Pre-market movers scan. After-hours earnings reaction detection. Sector-pair divergence alerts.

Exit Guidance

Profit-taking rules: scale out at +50%, sell half at +100%. Loss limits: cut at -50%. DTE-aware — prompts action when time decay is eroding gains.

Economic Calendar

FOMC countdown, CPI, Jobs Report, GDP, PCE — all with days-until badges. Color-coded by urgency. Warns you before volatility events crush your positions.

Catalyst Proximity

Meta-signal: oversold + earnings + insider buying + unusual options + sector inflow + dark pool. 4+ catalysts = CATALYST CLUSTER (+4 to raw score).

Dashboard
Everything on one screen
BTC / SPY / QQQ

Live prices with 7d/30d/YTD change and sentiment badges (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral). RSI and volume context at a glance.

Market Movers

Top gainers, losers, most active — refreshed live from Yahoo Finance.

Sector Rotation

11 sectors ranked by 1-week and 1-month performance vs SPY. Inflow/outflow badges. Sector cascade detection.

News Feed

Desktop: sidebar with click-to-expand previews. Mobile: bottom sheet with tap-to-expand. Market-relevant headlines from RSS.

Polymarket Predictions

Trending prediction markets filtered to finance, crypto, macro, and geopolitical events. Live probability odds sourced from Polymarket.

Earnings Countdown

Live earnings date lookup for every pick. Color-coded urgency badges: red for today, amber for tomorrow, cyan for this week. Falls back to yfinance calendar if scan data is stale.

Congress Trades (Coming Soon)

Recent stock trades by US Senators and Representatives. Will be added when a reliable free data source becomes available.

Performance Tracking
Every pick tracked from entry to expiry
Automated data collection captures entry snapshots, daily price updates, and strategy trigger events. Three win scenarios evaluated per pick: simulated exit rules, held-to-expiry, and optimal hindsight timing. Enables backtesting of rule modifications against historical data.
Scoreboard

Hero cards showing total picks, win rate, average return, and best pick. Filterable by date range. Updates daily at market close.

Grouped History

Picks grouped by ticker with expandable sub-entries. Shows entry price, current price, option P/L, max gain, max drawdown, and status per strike.

Daily Price Tracking

Automated 6pm ET snapshots for all open positions. Tracks stock price, option mid, IV, and volume through expiry. Trading days only.

Signal Analysis

Which signals appear most in winning vs losing picks. Evaluates signal effectiveness over time to refine the scoring engine.

Position Sizing
1 contract per strike
Every recommendation assumes 1 contract per ladder strike. Performance tracking, P/L, and win rates are all calculated on a 1-contract basis for clean apples-to-apples comparison across all picks. Max loss on any strike = the premium paid.
Ticker Universe
~100 tickers per scan (3-tier sourcing)
Core Watchlist (~30)

Hand-picked sectors: crypto miners, crypto-adjacent plays, defense, high-beta tech, metals, and ETFs. Scanned every run regardless of market conditions.

Curated List (~50)

High-liquidity optionable names across mega-cap tech, fintech, cybersecurity, energy, pharma, and retail. Always included — guarantees coverage on the most-traded tickers.

Dynamic Discovery

Remaining slots filled from Yahoo Finance screeners: most active, biggest losers (oversold bounce), biggest gainers (momentum). Fresh names every scan.

Market Sniffer v4.1 — Built for operators who value signal over noise.
Not financial advice. Options involve risk of loss. All data from public sources.

Contact

Feedback, suggestions, or bug reports — we'd love to hear from you.

Market Sniffer v4.1 · Not financial advice